USDS (USDS)

Everyone's reading @SkyEcosystem' Fixed Yield as a product.

In my opinion it's a price feed and almost nobody's treating it like one.

See Sky's variable rate is ~3.60%. The same pool lets you lock around 5% fixed to November. For locking to be the wrong call, Sky's variable has to climb and average past ~5% for six months, from 3.60% today.

So the spread isn't a yield. It's the market's live odds on what Sky governance does next and right now it's pricing a hike as unlikely and here's what it hands you👇

➥ Think rates stay flat or fall?
- Take the PT side
- You lock ~170bps over variable with certainty and the market's leaning the same way you are

➥ Think macro forces Sky to hike?
- The YT side is cheap optionality on a reversal that the pool is underpricing
- Small premium in, big payoff if you're right

The bigger edge is what comes next. Note every stablecoin that plugs into @pendle_fi spins up the same rate-expectation feed. Learn to read it here, on the first one and you can read the whole category's bets as it consolidates.

The pool's near around $14M today (which is looking small for now) so either side you take, you're on the signal before it gets crowded.

NFA DYOR

h/t to @DefiLlama for the data

According to Wu, as reported by Blockworks, the lending protocol Spark's deposits have neared $4.5 billion, continuously reaching new highs, with more than $1 billion added since the rsETH incident at the end of April. Currently, over 50% of Spark's deposits are USDS.
https://t.co/JYE3cF7nkm https://t.co/kFfGvA5ghc